Economic Update 22 Apr 2024 7 minute read
Surging Dollar raises investor caution amid geopolitical tensions
The pound dropped to a fresh year low against the USD at the end of last week's trading sessions as the Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Dave Ramsden, highlighted easing price pressures in the UK. This could suggest that he has become more open to the possibility of an interest rate cut sooner...
Economic Update 15 Apr 2024 7 minute read
Will the safe-haven USD continue to strengthen after tensions escalate in the Middle East
The latest GDP growth data for the UK was released on Friday. It shows that the UK economy grew 0.1% in February and 0.3% in January (revised up from the 0.2% reported previously), which could indicate the UK economy is rebounding from its technical...
Economic Update 08 Apr 2024 7 minute read
Will US inflation surprise again?
UK month-on-month GDP growth data is expected to fall from last month's figure but still show that the UK economy is growing when it's released this Friday. Forecasts expect GDP to show the economy grew 0.1% in March, which could indicate that the worst may be over from the impact of high interest rates...
Economic Update 25 Mar 2024 6 minute read
Will sterling recover from the BoE’s dovish stance on interest rates?
Sterling was on the back foot last week and saw losses against most G10 currencies. Soft data releases were the primary trigger alongside a risk-off mood in the markets, which does not favour the riskier pound against more resilient currencies like the US dollar. Last week's UK CPI inflation data came out 0.1% lower than expected on...
Economic Update 18 Mar 2024 7 minute read
Business as usual? Or will Central Banks surprise?
The Bank of England is meeting for its second rate decision of the year at midday this Thursday 21st March. Markets are currently predicting a less than 1% chance of a rate cut, making it very unlikely. Last time round is for this split to repeat, although some expect the vote to fall closer to a unanimous outcome, forecasting 0-8-1. If we do see this more dovish split...