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Economic Update 07 May 2024 7 minute read
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Will the Bank of England mirror the Federal Reserve?

Last week was quiet regarding UK data releases, but with the Bank of England scheduled to meet on Thursday, this week could see more movement in the pound. Markets expect the Bank of England to follow the Federal Reserve and hold rates when they meet on Thursday, May 9th. They anticipate only a...

Economic Update 29 Apr 2024 6 minute read
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Federal Reserve Meeting in Focus: US Expected to Hold Steady at 5.5%

It’s a quiet data week for GBP ahead of the Early May Bank Holiday weekend, with services industry data serving as the most notable on Friday. Markets will be preparing for next week’s Bank of England (BOE) meeting on Thursday which, based on current market expectations, will result in a sixth consecutive hold of the BOE’s...

Economic Update 22 Apr 2024 6 minute read
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Surging Dollar raises investor caution amid geopolitical tensions

The pound dropped to a fresh year low against the USD at the end of last week's trading sessions as the Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Dave Ramsden, highlighted easing price pressures in the UK. This could suggest that he has become more open to the possibility of an interest rate cut sooner...

Economic Update 15 Apr 2024 7 minute read
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Will the safe-haven USD continue to strengthen after tensions escalate in the Middle East

The latest GDP growth data for the UK was released on Friday. It shows that the UK economy grew 0.1% in February and 0.3% in January (revised up from the 0.2% reported previously), which could indicate the UK economy is rebounding from its technical...

Economic Update 08 Apr 2024 7 minute read
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Will US inflation surprise again?

UK month-on-month GDP growth data is expected to fall from last month's figure but still show that the UK economy is growing when it's released this Friday. Forecasts expect GDP to show the economy grew 0.1% in March, which could indicate that the worst may be over from the impact of high interest rates...

Economic Update 25 Mar 2024 6 minute read
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Will sterling recover from the BoE’s dovish stance on interest rates?

Sterling was on the back foot last week and saw losses against most G10 currencies. Soft data releases were the primary trigger alongside a risk-off mood in the markets, which does not favour the riskier pound against more resilient currencies like the US dollar. Last week's UK CPI inflation data came out 0.1% lower than expected on...

Economic Update 18 Mar 2024 7 minute read
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Business as usual? Or will Central Banks surprise?​

The Bank of England is meeting for its second rate decision of the year at midday this Thursday 21st March. Markets are currently predicting a less than 1% chance of a rate cut, making it very unlikely. Last time round is for this split to repeat, although some expect the vote to fall closer to a unanimous outcome, forecasting 0-8-1. If we do see this more dovish split...

Economic Update 11 Mar 2024 6 minute read
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From leaks to leaps: GBP surges post-budget reveal​

Last week, GBP held a solid footing following Chancellor Hunt's Spring Budget on Wednesday. The major announcements of changing the non-dom tax scheme and reducing National Insurance were 'leaked' in the days leading up to the Budget, which meant the market reaction was muted – a definite tactic of the Treasury, who are still haunted by the mini-budget that crashed...

Article 07 Mar 2024 11 minute read
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April Market Update

Discover insights on March's currency markets and April's upcoming pivotal economic data. Stay informed on upcoming key events and rate projections in this insightful review.